As we near closer to the election and as the Romney Campaign continues to gain momentum, we are seeing more and more states shift to a position favoring Romney. For the first time in this race, Governor Romney’s Campaign has a lead on both Gallup’s poll and the RealClearPolitics electoral projections. It’s a bad day to be Barack.
Even better, the RealClearPolitics projections for each candidates’ electoral votes is showing Romney ahead of Obama, 206-201, with that lead likely to rise. States like Florida and Colorado are pulling away and are likely to soon be out of Obama’s reach, and he will have to start cutting his losses and refocusing his attention on states that he has a shot at winning.
North Carolina is no longer a toss-up and has become a “leans Romney” state, and I believe that Virginia is soon to follow as Romney has been slowly building more and more support in the state. The Obama Campaign, in full-blown panic mode, has shifted gears and are putting all their efforts into winning Nevada, Iowa, New Hampshire and, most importantly, Ohio.
While they continue to pound the pavement in the aforementioned states, they are in danger of backsliding as Romney gains momentum that does not appear to be slowing down. New Hampshire is virtually a dead heat, Ohio and it’s whopping 18 electoral votes rests on a measly 2.4 point lead for Obama as of right now, and Nevada and Iowa hover around a 3 point lead for Obama- which can change on a dime. In short, everything has to go exactly right for Obama in these states in order to keep his job, and 18 days is an eternity in an election.
An even better indicator of the trouble Obama finds himself in is to watch the rats that are jumping off this sinking ship. Bob Beckel, co-host of FOXNews’ “The Five” and Obama cheerleader has declared that, assuming that the Gallup’s polls are correct, Obama’s Campaign is “over.”
On Thursday’s show, when his co-hosts discussed the recent Gallup polls, a despondent Beckel remarked,
“It’s over. It’s over. Yeah, I don’t have anything else to say. It’s over. It’s over… If I were looking at those numbers and managing the presidential campaign, I would be upset, I’m not sure panic. But if those numbers are correct — it is over, it is over. So I mean you’re not going to bring Romney back under 50 percent from 52 percent, not a challenger candidate. If that is correct. I don’t necessarily buy that it’s correct… I do have admiration for Gallup. But you got to remember that it is outside the margin of error. He’s outside the margin of error, but it’s plus or minus 4 percent. So it may be 48; I don’t know the answer to that.”
Gallup’s polls are a running 7-day average of likely voters and have a margin of error plus or minus 2 percentage points. Therefore, Romney’s polls are looking as low as 50 and as high as 54.
Once reality sinks in for Bob, someone’s going to have to put him on suicide watch.
I’ll admit, seeing a broken Bob Beckel does delight me. He’s as obnoxious and condescending as they come. Although, I’ll give him this much: his analysis here is spot-on. The former Democratic strategist served as the campaign manager for Walter Mondale’s doomed presidential campaign.
So, there are two things on which I’m willing to trust Beckel’s expertise: the art of condescension and recognizing doomed presidential candidates.