If The Election Were Held Today, Would Obama Win? No.

“If the election were held today, I think it would be close, but I think we’d win. And we now have 99 days left. If I can say that every day for the next 99 days, then we’ll be able to embark on the next phase of this journey.” — Barack Obama

Know why Obama is wrong about that?

Because the voters are already familiar with Obama. They know him. If they’re undecided even though they know him, it’s because they’re looking for an excuse to vote against him or at a minimum, they’re leaning that way unless Obama can get them back onboard.

What that means is if the election were held today, the undecided voters wouldn’t break 50/50, they’d break heavily against Obama. Keep in mind that Obama is already behind nationally according to Rasmussen,

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

If the election were held today, Romney would probably win by roughly the same margin that Obama beat McCain in 2008.

Want to know what states Obama can feel pretty good about? They’re the states where he’s over 50%. There are 13 of those states and unless you stretch the definition of “swing state” enough to include Minnesota and New Jersey, there’s not a crucial state in the bunch.

When you consider that for the most part, Romney is still keeping his powder dry and soaking up the cash instead of going full-tilt, the signs are growing more ominous for Obama by the day.

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53 Responses to If The Election Were Held Today, Would Obama Win? No.

  1. Steve Burke says:

    Sadly Obama will win because the Republican party will nominate a weak candidate.
    Where are the Reagan’s and Clinton’s when you need them.

    • Todd says:

      The “Clintons”?

    • Jerry says:

      They said the same thing about Reagan. Romney has the experience and the ability to be a fantastic president. Just look at how he turned a $400 million deficit of the 2002 winter olympics into a $100 million surplus. Romney knows how to manage money. Obama only knows how to spend yours.

      • aharris says:

        Romney may know how to manage money, but Congress has no clue, and they write the checks and control the purse strings.

    • Mark Zimmerly says:

      Amen, Steve!

    • Roadrunner says:

      Election outcome is unpredictable. too many voters are clueless and have very short attention spans and memories. Election will therefore depend on what happens within the last two weeks of the voting date. Within that period, another “You didn’t build it . . .” would cinch it for Romney.

  2. David says:

    Mitt Romney is a very strong Presidential Candidate. I believe he can beat Obama! Romney is a much stronger candidate that McCain was or either Santorum or Gingrich would have been! Mitt Romney 2012!

  3. Sally says:

    I don’t care who the Republican nominee is. I would be an idiot to vote for Obama or to just not vote at all!!!

    • Mike Steward says:

      To not vote at all will not help the country, however if you do not know what we stand to loose by being uninformed, with your head in the sand….. don’t vote. Mike.

  4. justin says:

    Hey genius….clinton was dummycrat….

  5. Tim Feuerhardt says:

    I believe Romney will win because now Obama has to run on his dismal record which he didnt have in 08 but im sure when he does lose he wont go quietly, It could be another 2000 all over again but look for riots if the results are the same.

  6. Steve Lindsay says:

    For 2012, we now know the Obama true, socialist, and the balance of our country’s future is very precarious. Let’s all work, volunteer, financially support if we can those candidates that will represent the PEOPLE and not failed idilogy!!!

  7. tunji says:

    I want president to kick romney butt in november I can’t wait

    • Larry says:

      Tungi, Don’t be too sure!

    • Ron Hunter says:

      WHY WOULD ANYONE VOTE FOR THIS MAN WHO CAN’T DO ANYTHING TO HELP THIS GREAT COUNTRY GET BACK TO WHERE IT WAS BEFORE THIS SOCIALIST GOT ELECTED. ANYBODY BUT OBUMMA. THINK HE CAN WILL BE BEATEN UNLESS THE RACE IS STOLEN BY ILLEGAL VOTERS. PICTURE ID’S FOR EVERYONE. ONLY VOTE ONCE ETC.

    • Deb says:

      What have you been doing the past 4 years ? Sleeping ? What an idio………. Never mind your not worth it !

    • Janet Wilhite says:

      Just remember, if you vote for anyone other than Romney, you will be aiding Obama the “Fraud” and his corrupt cronies in the destruction of a free America. We can not split the vote!! If you care and want to see America remain the greatest country then you must vote for a true American citizen and christian. Obamas inexperience is showing, he failed. Think again and get out of denial about who and what Obama is- A Fraud!!!

  8. tunji says:

    I want to see romney lose terribly in november therefor I can’t wait to see president obama kick his butt If president do so I will be so happy

    • And obozo is a good, strong candidate? NOT!!!! Romney will be a good president because he DOES NOT hate America, like the jibbing president does, along with his ultra left wing friends. Those people are not true liberals, because a true liberal would exercise open mindedness and not be intolerant toward different points of view, and they are more like the fascists who call themselves liberal and can tolerate any other points of view.

    • Hey, tunji, don’t forget to tell obozo to close the door on the way out!!! Also, we don’t need your stinking comments.

    • tomhamilton152 says:

      Are you crazy the president has put an additional 5.9 trillion dollars on the debt since he took office. He has spent more money than any of the previous 42 administrations combined going back to George Washington. He also has told the american people what they have to spend there own money on and what we believe. I will tell you this if you look at the presidents Job approval rating and add 1% point to it that is the vote he will get in November. That is right around 48% well under the 50-51% he needs to win.

    • Viola says:

      You think Obama is going to hand u everything for free your Idiot

    • Deb says:

      Romney will win , because the media is beginning to tell some of the secrets BO is keeping. Like the PAIN obamacare is going to inflict on Medicare recipiants when they cancel Medicare Advantage, thus cutting medicare coverage. But he has set it up that it won`t go into effect until after election Day. And tunji, the election is for American Citizens, which you are obviously not.

    • Andrew says:

      @tunji how could you possibly say that when this evil man hates this country with every bone in his body? How can you say that when this man has run this country INTO THE GROUND?!!! How can you say that when he has said the exact words that wouldn’t be surprising to hear on karl marx’s lips? “You didn’t build that business, someone else did that?” How can you be excited when the election could possibly be the only thing that stands between our country becoming a socialist state and being restored to the unlimited freedom we hold so dear? I do not see how you “can’t wait” for this socialist monster to be re elected!!!! OPEN YOUR EYES

    • Richard says:

      If that’s so, tunji then you don’t give a d_____ about our nation and our constitution.

    • 1LTLos says:

      You know most of us joining the national conversation here at Stockon are concerned over our country -Not one person here is concerned about whether you are happy. No one including yourself will be happy if Obscumbo is re elected because that man is a complete moron, a total fraud, incompetent, after almost 4 years on the job, his performance grows WORSE not better, his record is a continual and consistent abysmal failure – the guy couldnt even get the inauguration oath down properly. Obscumbos NEXT TERM must be Life Incarceration in Fort Leavenworth — In solitary for LIFE! Not only would that make the ENTIRE NATION HAPPY, that indeed would be JUSTICE!!!

  9. John says:

    Not only will Obama fail, he will fail by a lot! This country can’t handle 4 more years of tax and spend. This country would make Greece look stable with 4 more years of Obama.

  10. Mark Zimmerly says:

    If oil prices keep going down, like today. nearly $2.oo bbl on WTI, but gasoline went up nearly 30 cents to $3.89 locally, it’s going to be the nail in Obama’s coffin.
    People vote their pocketbook. As Ronald Reagan said during his campaign,
    “Are You better off, than You were 4 years ago”? Somehow, I don’t think so!

    • Cliff B. says:

      That’s the only message Romney needs to run on. Are you better today than you were for years ago? Is the COUNTRY better today than it was four years ago? The Democrats and media can keep trying to distract voters with gay marriage and other social issues, but this is the ONLY thing that really matters.

      • The country is in total disarray, broke and divided. That is obozo’s legacy. His demagoguery has blinded many people, but hopefully those who voted in into office, will now realize that they were misled and lied to, ALL the time!!!!!

  11. tazzmax says:

    Tunji, time to take your meds to control liberal insanity,..you have it bad!

  12. Danna Mayhall says:

    I don’t know where you people live, but here in Texas I can’t find anyone who wants Obama re-elected. The only way that Obama would win is if he commits election fraud. So, don’t be getting your hopes up, liberals, because Romney will be the next president.

  13. Julie says:

    Tunji, you sound very educated and mature.

  14. Viola says:

    People wake up read your history! Obama is Hitler what Obama is doing now is what Hitler. Did. Look up Ayn Rand, and what happened 30 years ago is what going on here!

  15. Barb says:

    Tunji,
    What has this President done to help you?
    You must be a lot better off than you were when he took the oath of office.
    That’s better than most of us in the country today.

  16. Big Kahuna says:

    Given the disasterous first term by the Obama Administration, unemployment record highs, increased deficit spending, scandals and corruption each and everyday, said he’s cut the deficit in his first term and if he didn’t he’d be by his own admission a one term president. More fraud, waste and abuse in this Administration than any other in history. He hasn’t released any of his past records, if I was Romney I would say you release your records and I’ll release mine. I bet Obama’s sealed records have more damaging information than Romneys. The lack of transparency is rampant and worsens daily. The Silent Majority is awakening and paying attention, most will decide that this country doesn’t want another 4 years of failed policies and higher unemployment and deeper in debt.

  17. Juditha says:

    Obama will win in November because he will pull any dirty trick to do so. He’s already illegal, immoral, a liar and he never had any intent to “save” America. I wouldn’t be surprised if somehow the election was halted due to circumstances beyond “the almighty’s” control. And besides, thanks to our government run schools, our marxist professors and the dumming down of America, too many people only want a handout and are too mindless to see where we are headed. I hope you all enjoy your new god.

  18. olduglycarl says:

    The usually quiet, value creating true Americans, The 60% of us that are somehow still fully consciously awake are now engaged. This is your sleeping giant. We understand perfectly now, exactly what progressives are all about. We will now say NO! in a very big way, No to socialism and its lack of accountability. No to more man made rules; Man made rules, punish the many, because of a few, in favor of a few or to expressly empower the idiot that makes the rule. No, to a new world order, one world government, one world bank and no to one world religion; abet, a babylonian pagan one at that. No to this new age satanic nonsense. If you read real history, you would see this crap over and over again. Conscious value creating human beings, win out every time. Let us erradicate them for ever this time. Out compete them, stop doing business with them, identify, rationaly chastize and finally, ostrasize them from conscious human society! They will fade away because, without us, they can not survive.

    • Phil says:

      2013……..Let the purge begin.
      Next step is to keep them away from our children in the public schools.
      This whole battle is for naught if we still let them have our children.
      Have they taught them to rat out their conservative parents yet?
      Remember them singing songs for dear leader? Creepy huh?
      Dept. of education is unconstitutional and should be abolished as a usurpation.
      Just one of the many we must undo.
      You didn’t build your business.
      Oh yeah….that’s right.
      I did it DESPITE MY GOVERNMENT SHAKING ME DOWN AND HARASSING ME ALL THE WAY.
      If this communist gets elected again I’m folding it all up.
      Will we let them turn us into their serfs……oh wait a minute,we already are.

    • vicki says:

      I’m with you Olduglycarl

  19. Tony says:

    Obama is finished. The country has had enough of the two-faced lying from the Obama administration. Those that think he will get another term are dreaming.

  20. dan r moseley says:

    I think the only way obama will is if he can find enough dead people to vote.

  21. Here is the crux of the matter, obozo and partners in crime, will use all negative propaganda and try to discredit Mitt. They hope to character assassinate Mitt at every turn, and since the bias lap dog mainstream media won’t report the truth or be accurate with comments, they are hoping that people get discouraged and not vote for Romney or at all, but hopefully people are going to be more savvy and realize that obozo has nothing but failure and a terrible future for everyone. Look who are his supporters, the ultra rich, who end up getting all kinds of breaks and money from taxpayers. This is the way dictatorships in the 3rd world stay in power and control the people that pay and pay for corrupt governments and their corrupted ways.

  22. tonyturbo says:

    The Constitutional Militia wont allow this country to go into the abyss of tyranny…Expect us to become an influential voice ! We stand for all Americans whom truly want this country great again…We have become the worlds police for and its draining our integrity… America needs to take care of itself …our children and their children will fall into the economic melting pot we were to stupid to see coming and didnt do anything to stop it…They will suffer our failures… I support Ron Paul. Will write him in and know many whom will not vote for Obama or Romney…

    • Richard says:

      If you do vote for a third party candidate, then you will be one of the reasons Obama might win. I’m not necessarily for Romney either but I’m voting against Obama by voting for Romney. I think the Republican party are leaning toward that candidate that don’t really stand for anything, however he’s better then Obama, and if we don’t stand united in our attempt to remove this person from office then we might be doomed to repeat another four years.

    • Dave says:

      A write in vote for Ron Paul will just result in a vote for Obama because there is no way there would ever be enough write in votes to elect him. So the end result is you would be handing Obama the election, do you really want that, I don’t think so

  23. Norma says:

    I truly hope Obama doesn’t win re-election.But don’t get to sure.Keep the pressure on.We definitely cannot stand another 4yrs of this administration.We need to vote in more Conservative members of Congress and the Senate as well.Preferably TeaParty members.The more,the better.We have to keep fighting.Sign petitions,call your representatives,let them know how you want them to vote on crucial issues.
    Romney2012!!

  24. Huapakechi says:

    Before you drive the final nail in “o”boy’s coffin, remember that it’s not the votes that count, it’s who counts the votes. There has already been a Spanish company selected (by the current administration) to tally the votes in the upcoming election. This company supposedly has connections to soros. This could be worse than the 2000 election.

  25. Knightbrigade says:

    Tunji….Is that you Aunt Zeituni!? lol
    Let’s all work real hard especially in swing states to save this country!!
    President ROMNEY!!!

  26. shimmer says:

    How can we know more about this company hired to count votes come Nov? This is very disturbing to hear. I would NOT put it past this sleaze-bag and his cronies to rig the count. I have been wondering about this for some time now.

    Shimmer (ex- lib)

  27. Ed says:

    Between the left wing liberals, socialists, those who receive entitlements (NOT including Social Security retirement benefits) and Obama’s people who will finds ways to “steal” this election, the incompetant remain in office for another four years. Just as bad (maybe worse), Congress is as incompetant as the administration. The real answer to the mess this country is in would be to impose term limits on both the president and congress and elimiate lobbists.

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